Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.155914 0.172367 0.189166 0.207559 0.227094 0.247182 0.269362
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.135458 0.158528 0.182924 0.210512 0.240707 0.272626 0.308791
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.118572 0.146036 0.175993 0.210810 0.249882 0.292111 0.340937
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.105914 0.136687 0.171203 0.212295 0.259401 0.311265 0.372234
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.094183 0.127179 0.165185 0.211453 0.265531 0.326062 0.398259
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.087028 0.122324 0.163933 0.215561 0.276888 0.346468 0.430443
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.079152 0.115872 0.160179 0.216188 0.283763 0.361426 0.456191
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.071993 0.109709 0.156260 0.216160 0.289493 0.374779 0.479899
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.065059 0.103280 0.151536 0.214729 0.293193 0.385486 0.500328
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060218 0.099226 0.149496 0.216348 0.300382 0.400193 0.525398
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.057538 0.097875 0.150761 0.221998 0.312448 0.420732 0.557448
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.053071 0.093712 0.148074 0.222379 0.317798 0.433041 0.579593
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.050511 0.092189 0.148922 0.227449 0.329266 0.453150 0.611639
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.046890 0.088865 0.147139 0.228931 0.336103 0.467556 0.636819
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.042902 0.084699 0.143964 0.228375 0.340199 0.478494 0.657748
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.039787 0.081631 0.142138 0.229481 0.346334 0.491922 0.681735
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036265 0.077654 0.138803 0.228353 0.349425 0.501446 0.700865
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.034555 0.076460 0.139390 0.232544 0.359467 0.519746 0.730936
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.031991 0.073661 0.137471 0.233135 0.364663 0.531857 0.753294
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.029458 0.070714 0.135176 0.233070 0.368893 0.542686 0.774036
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.026770 0.067275 0.131958 0.231547 0.371049 0.550781 0.791302
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025037 0.065399 0.131037 0.233239 0.377513 0.564424 0.815610
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.024361 0.065415 0.133042 0.239169 0.389790 0.585666 0.849663